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The Confidence Calibration Problem – Why Self-Assessment Fails Us at the Worst Possible Moments

The Confidence Calibration Problem Why Self-Assessment Fails Us at the Worst Possible Moments Issue 247, January 15, 2026 In virtually every meeting where decisions are being made, someone in the room is speaking with authority on a subject they understand poorly, while someone else with genuine expertise is holding back because they’re not confident their perspective or even the information they have is valuable. This asymmetry shapes outcomes in ways we rarely recognize. This phenomenon of human behavior cuts across…

The Advice We Never Take – Why Leaders Seek Counsel They Systematically Ignore

The Advice We Never Take Why Leaders Seek Counsel They Systematically Ignore Issue 246, January 8, 2026 A CEO I worked with several years ago hired three different consulting firms over 18 months to advise on the same strategic question. Each firm conducted extensive research, interviewed stakeholders, and delivered comprehensive recommendations. Each recommendation pointed in essentially the same direction. And each time, he thanked them, paid their invoices, and proceeded exactly as he had intended before asking. When I asked…

The Psychology of Fresh Starts – Why January Optimism Fails and What Actually Makes Change Stick

The Psychology of Fresh Starts Why January Optimism Fails and What Actually Makes Change Stick Issue 245, January 2, 2026 Fresh starts are seductive. They promise change and transformation without the messy work of actual change and transformation. Every January, leaders announce bold new initiatives, teams commit to better collaboration, and individuals embrace change with the enthusiasm of people who have conveniently forgotten how last year’s resolutions ended. The calendar turns, and we believe this time will be different. We…

Human Factor Podcast Season 1 Episode 013: Season 1 Wrap-Up and Season 2 Preview: The Psychology Behind Transformation Success

Episode 013 Episode 013: Season 1 Wrap-Up and Season 2 Preview The Psychology Behind Transformation Success Hosts: Kevin Novak Duration: 12 minutes Available: December 29, 2025 🎙️Season 1, Episode 13  Episodes are available in both video and audio formats across all major podcast platforms, including Spotify, YouTube, Pandora, Apple Podcasts, and via RSS, among others. Transcript Available Below Episode Overview In this Season 1 finale, we step back and look at the complete arc of what we’ve explored together:…

Holiday Week Sampler 2025 – A Season of Hope, Renewal, and New Beginnings

Holiday Week Sampler 2025 A Season of Hope, Renewal, and New Beginnings Issue 244, December 26, 2025 As we gather during this holiday week between Christmas and the New Year, we find ourselves in a unique moment of transition. The celebrations of the past few days give way to quiet reflection, and the promise of a fresh year beckons just ahead. This week’s sampler draws from our archive of 243 issues to explore themes that feel especially relevant during this…

Human Factor Podcast Season 1 Episode 012: The Lies We Tell at Work – Why Workplace Dishonesty Destroys Transformation

Episode 012 Episode 012: The Lies We Tell at Work – Why Workplace Dishonesty Destroys Transformation The Invisible Force Destroying Your Organization’s Ability to Change, Adapt, and Survive Hosts: Kevin Novak Duration: 23 minutes Available: December 23, 2025 🎙️Season 1, Episode 12  Episodes are available in both video and audio formats across all major podcast platforms, including Spotify, YouTube, Pandora, Apple Podcasts, and via RSS, among others. Transcript Available Below Episode Overview A project manager knew the deadline would…

Human Factor Podcast Season 1 Episode 011: The Drift That Destroys – When Success Becomes the Enemy of Survival

Episode 011 Episode 011 The Drift That Destroys – When Success Becomes the Enemy of Survival Learn About the Silent Force that Destroys Successful Organizations Hosts: Kevin Novak Duration: 40 minutes Available: December 18, 2025 🎙️Season 1, Episode 11 Episodes are available in both video and audio formats across all major podcast platforms, including Spotify, YouTube, Pandora, Apple Podcasts, and via RSS, among others. Transcript Available Below Episode Overview In 2004, Blockbuster laughed Netflix out of the room when they…

The Case for Strategic Patience – Why Leaders Should Know When to Hold Back

The Case for Strategic Patience Why Leaders Should Know When to Hold Back Issue 243, December 18, 2025 A CEO had a vision for where her organization needed to go. She could see the full picture clearly: the new capabilities they would build, the market position they would claim, and the organizational changes that would be required along the way. It was ambitious, and it was right if the organization was to continue growing and remain relevant. But when she…

Human Factor Podcast Season 1 Episode 010: Measuring the Human Factor – When Surveys Lie and Behavior Reveals the Truth

Episode 010 Episode 010 Measuring the Human Factor – When Surveys Lie and Behavior Reveals the Truth Learn How to Measure What People Do, not Say Hosts: Kevin Novak Duration: 32 minutes Available: December 11, 2025 🎙️Season 1, Episode 10 Episodes are available in both video and audio formats across all major podcast platforms, including Spotify, YouTube, Pandora, Apple Podcasts, and via RSS, among others. Transcript Available Below Episode Overview Why do transformation initiatives fail despite dashboards showing 82% employee…

When Change Champions Burn Out – The Hidden Cost of Driving Change and Transformation

When Change Champions Burn Out The Hidden Cost of Driving Change and Transformation Issue 242, December 11, 2025 She was exactly the kind of employee every leader dreams of when launching a change initiative or an organization-wide transformation. When the organization’s leadership announced the initiative eighteen months ago, she volunteered immediately. She learned the new processes faster than anyone else. She became the steady go-to for confused colleagues, the calm presence in tense project meetings, the translator helping others make…

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