The Confidence Calibration Problem – Why Self-Assessment Fails Us at the Worst Possible Moments
The Confidence Calibration Problem Why Self-Assessment Fails Us at the Worst Possible Moments Issue 247, January 15, 2026 In virtually every meeting where decisions are being made, someone in the room is speaking with authority on a subject they understand poorly, while someone else with genuine expertise is holding back because they’re not confident their perspective or even the information they have is valuable. This asymmetry shapes outcomes in ways we rarely recognize. This phenomenon of human behavior cuts across…
